Goodbye MAX, Hello Naked Trading

As many of you know I have been trading the MAX Trading System for the past year. I have today decided to stop any further effort in that endeavor. I have poured my heart and soul into learning the MAX Trading System, and for me unfortunately, it has been another long hard trip to nowhere. I must now turn back, gather my spirits and push forward. This experience has been bitterly disappointing, the MAX system had so much promise, but I know deep down I must abandon it, despite me taking time away from my family, despite me refusing nights out with friends, despite hundreds of hours of work late into the night. It was not an easy decision to make, but I did not want to fall into the cognitive bias trap of theĀ sunk cost fallacy.

I am coming full circle to where I started over a year ago with naked charts, i.e. no indicators at all. Not even a moving average. I am studying in earnest the James16 methods and derivatives of it. Actually James16 did not invent these techniques, they have been used in the markets for a long time and were popularised by Martin Pring. James16 seems to have popularised it further with his famous thread on forex factory and I have joined his group to learn about this in more detail.

I am employing a one-one trading mentor who I have great respect for. He has been trading many years and the first half of his trading career has been the same as mine up to this point, a bitter disappointment. He did though, with tenacity turn his trading around and studied James16 and has also been a professional trader at a prop trading firm. He now trades his own account and I want to learn from his mistakes and try and minimise the amount of grief in learning how to trade in the future. I firmly believe I am on the right track now (gosh how many times have I said that?) and I am glad I have shed the indicators from my charts.

I will be posting my progress up here for all to see.

I am making this decision for my own personal reasons. Many of you may find that the MAX Trading System is suited to you and works for you. I know of several people that are trading the MAX profitably, I have certainly learnt a lot from it and the most valuable was probably the money management and scaling-in techniques. I may use those in the future in my naked trading. They are tools that are there in my trading toolbox should I need them. I think that every trader needs to find a system and timeframe that is suited to them, otherwise it’s just not going to work. I’ve discovered that the MAX was not suited to me.

My MAX Trading System Results

The table below shows my MAX results on my live account with real money.

Gross Pips Profit 1,451
Gross Pips Loss -1,302
Net Pips Profit 150
Avg Pips Profit/Trade 8
Profit Factor 0.47
Max. Consecutive Losers 3
Largest drawdown % -12.41
Time in drawdown 80 Days, 23 Hours
Total Pips Risked 4,296
Avg Pips Risked 239
Avg Acct. Risked % -3.95
Max Acct. Risked % -23.56
Min Acct. Risked % -1.39
Total Acct. change % -12.73
Avg. Acct. change % -0.70
Avg. Acct. change % (Wins) 1.82
Avg. Acct. change % (Lose) -2.83
Max Acct. change % 3.24
Min Acct. change % -10.65
Avg. Reward/Risk Ratio 0.01
Worst Reward/Risk Ratio -1.00
Best ever Reward/Risk Ratio 1.33
Number of trades 18
Number of trades per month 4.5
Number of winners 7
Number of break-evens 2
Number of losers 9
Win % 38.9
B/E % 11.1
Lose % 50.0
Win/Loss Ratio (Pips) 1.4
Win/Loss Ratio (% Acct) 0.6
Avg. pips of winners 181
Avg. pips of losers -130
Worst ever trade -370
Best ever trade 373
Longest trade time 6 Days, 21 Hours
Shortest trade time 0 Days, 0 Hours, 21 Minutes
Avg. trade time 1 Day, 5 Hours
Avg.time for winners 2 Days, 7 Hours
Avg. time for losers 0 Days, 12 Hours, 42 Minutes

It differs greatly from the scrolling backtesting I did, and I think this is because the market was not live. I have again learnt another valuable (although painful) lesson – trade the system you want to use LIVE before using real money, and don’t spend months backtesting it before you trade it live in a demo account. DO THEM IN PARALLEL!

I want to thank the MAX community and have made some nice friends there, but I must move on and find my own way with a method of trading that works for me.

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MAX Trading System Review

I have just finished a trading course called the MAX Trading System and decided to write a review. The review has been submitted to Forex Peace Army too, so should appear there soon. I have reproduced it below:

I took the July/August 2010 Max Standard course which finished (at the time writing) yesterday. This review is based on the course and not on the possible results – I have not traded this system live yet but wanted to provide a review of the course itself. I have taken many courses and have had a couple of mentors in my few short years as a part-time trader. I have had no success yet on a live account, so if you are looking for a gushing review where I can exclaim I have made millions with the MAX then this is not the review for you. I am keeping it real and honest. You can see my trading adventure at keymoo.info/trading

Structure
The course is 7 weekly sessions of roughly two hours via GoToWebinar. You can see the instructor’s computer and hear their voice, and can communicate with them via text chat. See the website for more details. I like the way it is structured because the course contains a vast amount of information and it is delivered in such a way as to build your knowledge from a foundation upwards, much like a building. Session 1 is purely discussing entries and the Max philosophy. Session 2 talks about stop losses and how to scale-in to a trade (a very important part of the MAX). Session 3 talks about some new indicators and how to exit and scale-out. Session 4 talks more on exits and some more indicators. Session 5 was quite illuminating as a non-lag indicator was presented which blew me away. Simulated trading in the MT4 strategy tester was dicussed. Session 6 was a review session and a couple more indicators. Session 7 was another review session and a long discussion on risk and money management. After session 7, an invitation to the members only forum was given, and invitations to scrolling parties, the application room and further training with the Advanced course. After every session homework was assigned and graded by Jerry – this is a very important part of the training, to ensure the knowedge has been received properly. This was done via a google group.

The good
There are four people as far as I am aware that run the Max trading system. Chris, Craig, Eusebio and Jerry. Chris and Craig are the oil in the machine and run the course and I have to say it was very slick indeed with lots of attention from them. But the course really shined with the very experienced instructors, Eusebio and Jerry. They are obviously very experienced successful traders and they impart their knowledge clearly, succinctly and sprinkled with some humour. They really are a pleasure to listen to in the webinar sessions. What really sets them apart though is their obvious love for the subject of trading, they really love it. I asked numerous questions on the google group and on text chat during the sessions and the instructors were patient and clear in their explanations even though some students did get a mild scolding once in a while if they were not practising what they were taught, and I see this as a good thing. The instructors really cared about making sure that all students had learned the material. the level of attention from them was quite extraordinary.

The bad
The course is very intense and requires hours and hours and hours of HARD WORK. You must not have any preconceptions about a trading method before you go in. I have lost money in the past, trading indicators and I developed a phobia against them and wanted to learn how to trade using price action only. However, it took me a week or two of seeing the kind of results people were getting with the MAX to allow me to drop those preconceptions and allow the indicators in. The MAX’s power lies in reducing risk right down to a very low level, but at the same time allowing you to scale in to a trade when it is going in your direction. The result of this is a low risk, very, very powerful and profitable trading system. The MAX is however primarly a price action trading method, with the SUPPORT OF indicators – it is not an indicator based system. I did find the number of indicators a little overwhelming to start with but I’m sure I’ll get used to them the more I practise – my charts look very colourful indeed now, whereas before the course I would only have price and a few support/resistance lines and maybe an MA. I did find the audio to be bad from Jerry – but that could have been me. I suspect it wasn’t me because Eusebio and Chris were fine on the audio. Jerry’s audio was bad on the videos too, fading in and out. On the plus side I didn’t lose any information, it was just more effort to listen to Jerry because of the audio issues than the other instructors. Maybe Jerry should invest in a new microphone.

Summary
I was attracted to the MAX in the first place because I wanted to find a method that was not rigid based on absolute concrete rules and one that allowed me to scale in and out of trades. I really believe that the key to vast profits is to reduce risk by getting out of a trade early if it’s not going your way and adding to the trade as it goes in your direction. That was what I was looking for when I trawled the internet, and WOW did I find what I was looking for! This course is not for the lazy or people looking to become millionaires overnight. If however, hard work, perseverence, patience and discpline are applied, I’m sure the millions will follow anyway. Some people have whined about the price of the course, but I think it is extraordinarily good value for money. I will be practising what I have learnt over the next few months and will then look to go on the Advanced course early in 2011. If you are looking for a powerful trading method that works on any time frame and don’t mind some hard work, then don’t hesitate and book your course today.

If you would like a copy of a video introduction to the MAX, then let me know in the contact form, and I’ll forward it on to you. It is worth watching the video, believe me.

UPDATE: 31 August 2010

I gave the review on Forex Peace Army five stars, but it has come through unrated for some reason. Not sure why that is – the previous comment to mine is unrated too. Maybe their ratings system has broken?

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